HAC Penalty Simulator
FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)
Counterfactual simulator
AURORA MEDICAL CENTER BAY AREA
WI · Facility ID 520113 · FY2026
Total HAC Score
0.7468
Percentile
88.5th
Displayed status
Payment reductionFrom CMS Payment Reduction column (file).
Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position
Hospital score 0.7469. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.
Live result
Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative
Simulated Total HAC
0.7469
Δ from file score
+0.0001
File 0.7468
Measure controls
Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.
- Composite Value 0.897Z file -0.636 → sim -0.6360.273.32
- SIR 0.693Z file 0.201 → sim 0.2010.007.96
- SIR 1.124Z file 1.391 → sim 1.3910.005.52
- SIR 2.642Z file 2.172 → sim 2.1720.004.79
No score impact — already at the measure cap.
- SIR 0.690Z file 1.210 → sim 1.2100.003.32
- SIR 0.766Z file 0.144 → sim 0.1440.004.41
Solver
Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.
Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.