Hospital simulator

HAC Penalty Simulator

HAC Penalty Simulator

FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)

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Counterfactual simulator

DUKE HEALTH LAKE NORMAN HOSPITAL

NC · Facility ID 340129 · FY2026

Total HAC Score

-0.4174

Percentile

25.0th

Displayed status

No reduction

From CMS Payment Reduction column (file).

Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position

Score distributionThreshold 0.3792Hospital -0.4174

Hospital score -0.4174. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.

Live result

Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative

Simulated Total HAC

-0.4174

Δ from file score

+0.0000

File -0.4174

Not penalized (simulated)

Measure controls

Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.

  • Composite Value 0.862Z file -0.885 → sim -0.885
    0.273.32
  • SIR 0.684Z file 0.180 → sim 0.180
    0.007.96
  • SIR 0.684Z file 0.330 → sim 0.330
    0.005.52
  • SIR 0.457Z file -0.674 → sim -0.674
    0.004.79
  • SIR 0.378Z file 0.002 → sim 0.001
    0.003.32
  • SIR 0.000Z file -1.457 → sim -1.457
    0.004.41

    No score impact — already at the measure floor.

Solver

Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.

Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.