HAC Penalty Simulator
FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)
Counterfactual simulator
ERIE COUNTY MEDICAL CENTER
NY · Facility ID 330219 · FY2026
Total HAC Score
0.5420
Percentile
81.8th
Displayed status
Payment reductionFrom CMS Payment Reduction column (file).
Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position
Hospital score 0.5420. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.
Live result
Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative
Simulated Total HAC
0.5420
Δ from file score
+0.0000
File 0.5420
Measure controls
Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.
- Composite Value 2.107Z file 2.511 → sim 2.5110.273.32
No score impact — already at the measure cap.
- SIR 0.671Z file 0.150 → sim 0.1500.007.96
- SIR 0.327Z file -0.530 → sim -0.5300.005.52
- SIR 1.295Z file 0.762 → sim 0.7620.004.79
- SIR 0.530Z file 0.590 → sim 0.5900.003.32
- SIR 0.587Z file -0.231 → sim -0.2310.004.41
Solver
Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.
Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.