HAC Penalty Simulator
FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)
Counterfactual simulator
MEMORIALCARE ORANGE COAST MEDICAL CENTER
CA · Facility ID 050678 · FY2026
Total HAC Score
0.4643
Percentile
78.8th
Displayed status
Payment reductionFrom CMS Payment Reduction column (file).
Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position
Hospital score 0.4643. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.
Live result
Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative
Simulated Total HAC
0.4643
Δ from file score
+0.0000
File 0.4643
Measure controls
Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.
- Composite Value 1.042Z file 0.376 → sim 0.3760.273.32
- SIR 1.260Z file 1.516 → sim 1.5160.007.96
- SIR 0.166Z file -0.918 → sim -0.9180.005.52
- SIR 1.257Z file 0.697 → sim 0.6970.004.79
- SIR 0.547Z file 0.656 → sim 0.6560.003.32
- SIR 0.917Z file 0.459 → sim 0.4590.004.41
Solver
Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.
Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.