HAC Penalty Simulator
FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)
Counterfactual simulator
PROVIDENCE ST MARY MEDICAL CENTER
CA · Facility ID 050300 · FY2026
Total HAC Score
0.4569
Percentile
78.5th
Displayed status
Payment reductionFrom CMS Payment Reduction column (file).
Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position
Hospital score 0.4568. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.
Live result
Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative
Simulated Total HAC
0.4568
Δ from file score
-0.0001
File 0.4569
Measure controls
Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.
- Composite Value 1.053Z file 0.449 → sim 0.4480.273.32
- SIR 1.383Z file 1.802 → sim 1.8020.007.96
- SIR 0.189Z file -0.863 → sim -0.8630.005.52
- SIR 1.184Z file 0.572 → sim 0.5720.004.79
- SIR 0.576Z file 0.768 → sim 0.7680.003.32
- SIR 0.704Z file 0.014 → sim 0.0140.004.41
Solver
Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.
Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.