HAC Penalty Simulator
FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)
Counterfactual simulator
ST BERNARDS MEDICAL CENTER
AR · Facility ID 040020 · FY2026
Total HAC Score
0.4531
Percentile
78.3th
Displayed status
Payment reductionFrom CMS Payment Reduction column (file).
Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position
Hospital score 0.4531. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.
Live result
Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative
Simulated Total HAC
0.4531
Δ from file score
+0.0000
File 0.4531
Measure controls
Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.
- Composite Value 3.179Z file 2.511 → sim 2.5110.273.32
No score impact — already at the measure cap.
- SIR 0.391Z file -0.499 → sim -0.4990.007.96
- SIR 0.388Z file -0.383 → sim -0.3830.005.52
- SIR 0.824Z file -0.045 → sim -0.0450.004.79
- SIR 0.685Z file 1.190 → sim 1.1900.003.32
- SIR 0.671Z file -0.055 → sim -0.0550.004.41
Solver
Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.
Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.