Hospital simulator

HAC Penalty Simulator

HAC Penalty Simulator

FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)

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Counterfactual simulator

MERCY HOSPITAL NORTHWEST ARKANSAS

AR · Facility ID 040010 · FY2026

Total HAC Score

-0.3273

Percentile

30.7th

Displayed status

No reduction

From CMS Payment Reduction column (file).

Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position

Score distributionThreshold 0.3792Hospital -0.3274

Hospital score -0.3274. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.

Live result

Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative

Simulated Total HAC

-0.3274

Δ from file score

-0.0001

File -0.3273

Not penalized (simulated)

Measure controls

Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.

  • Composite Value 0.748Z file -1.483 → sim -1.483
    0.273.32

    No score impact — already at the measure floor.

  • SIR 0.266Z file -0.789 → sim -0.789
    0.007.96
  • SIR 0.365Z file -0.439 → sim -0.439
    0.005.52
  • SIR 1.884Z file 1.771 → sim 1.771
    0.004.79
  • SIR 0.358Z file -0.076 → sim -0.076
    0.003.32
  • SIR 0.244Z file -0.947 → sim -0.947
    0.004.41

Solver

Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.

Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.