HAC Penalty Simulator
FY2026 · counterfactual measure changes (partial-equilibrium)
Counterfactual simulator
BANNER ESTRELLA MEDICAL CENTER
AZ · Facility ID 030115 · FY2026
Total HAC Score
0.2939
Percentile
70.1th
Displayed status
No reductionFrom CMS Payment Reduction column (file).
Score vs threshold (0.3792) — simulated position
Hospital score 0.2939. Penalty threshold 0.3792. Distribution of 2929 scored hospitals.
Live result
Equal-weight mean of edited reported Z · threshold 0.3792(strict >) · simulated/illustrative
Simulated Total HAC
0.2939
Δ from file score
-0.0000
File 0.2939
Measure controls
Drag reported SIRs (PSI-90: Composite Value). Z updates live via the empirical map, clamped to each measure's floor/cap.
- Composite Value 1.234Z file 1.711 → sim 1.7110.273.32
- SIR 0.760Z file 0.357 → sim 0.3570.007.96
- SIR 0.274Z file -0.658 → sim -0.6580.005.52
- SIR 0.869Z file 0.032 → sim 0.0320.004.79
- SIR 0.552Z file 0.675 → sim 0.6750.003.32
- SIR 0.528Z file -0.354 → sim -0.3540.004.41
Solver
Smallest change to clear (or cushion before crossing) the 0.3792 threshold — holding other measures fixed. Simulated/illustrative.
Insufficient data to score — solver unavailable.